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Red70
721123.1
717812.0
171828.8
Blue40
590718.8
309811.8
526310.0
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions613102040801007040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.81.4
19.120.5
Auto6.7
Teleop12.8
End9.3
red by 10.0
5907
#18
18.80.3
18.218.6
Auto6.6
Teleop8.9
End3.2
Second
23.11.4
21.222.6
Auto5.6
Teleop6.5
End11.0
red by 11.4
3098
#34
11.80.3
6.56.8
Auto3.3
Teleop6.6
End1.9
Third
7178
#29
12.01.4
13.114.5
Auto2.8
Teleop4.8
End4.4
red by 2.0
5263
#31
10.00.3
8.28.6
Auto1.8
Teleop5.1
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
50%Cargo oddsEarned14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
36%Hangar oddsEarned31%Hangar oddsMissed