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Red97
148122.5
309811.8
171828.8
Blue6
83614.6
779111.5
759813.4
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5435020406080976

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.84.0
24.128.0
Auto6.7
Teleop12.8
End9.3
red by 15.3
7598
#23
13.42.4
16.013.6
Auto3.8
Teleop4.2
End5.4
Second
1481
#12
22.54.3
18.723.0
Auto6.2
Teleop10.5
End5.8
red by 11.0
7791
#32
11.52.4
12.39.9
Auto3.2
Teleop4.4
End4.0
Third
3098
#34
11.84.3
5.69.9
Auto3.3
Teleop6.6
End1.9
red by 7.1
8361
#35
4.62.4
7.14.7
Auto1.9
Teleop2.4
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
26%Cargo oddsEarned6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
43%Hangar oddsEarned51%Hangar oddsMissed