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Red41
657017.2
717812.0
725411.0
Blue61
556122.4
214514.3
261917.1
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3957020801004161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6570
#16
17.20.2
17.818.0
Auto4.0
Teleop2.7
End10.4
blue by 5.3
5561
#14
22.40.6
21.321.9
Auto4.4
Teleop6.7
End11.3
Second
7178
#29
12.00.2
11.611.7
Auto2.8
Teleop4.8
End4.4
blue by 5.2
2619
#27
17.10.8
16.116.9
Auto5.9
Teleop4.7
End6.5
Third
7254
#36
11.00.2
9.69.8
Auto4.6
Teleop3.0
End3.5
blue by 3.3
2145
#21
14.30.6
13.814.5
Auto3.6
Teleop1.0
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
42%Hangar oddsEarned93%Hangar oddsEarned