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Red52
722519.0
590718.8
817912.8
Blue46
83614.6
150227.5
83016.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56482040801005246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7225
#20
19.00.0
19.719.7
Auto4.9
Teleop10.6
End3.5
blue by 8.5
27.50.0
25.825.8
Auto9.1
Teleop10.8
End7.5
Second
5907
#18
18.80.0
19.419.4
Auto6.6
Teleop8.9
End3.2
red by 2.1
830
#26
16.70.0
15.815.8
Auto3.3
Teleop11.9
End1.4
Third
8179
#25
12.80.0
12.812.8
Auto3.7
Teleop3.3
End5.7
red by 8.1
8361
#35
4.60.0
4.74.6
Auto1.9
Teleop2.4
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
29%Cargo oddsMissed28%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
69%Hangar oddsMissed33%Hangar oddsMissed