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Red46
526310.0
261917.1
766022.5
Blue47
85198.8
45312.8
755320.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54432060804647

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7660
#19
22.50.3
22.322.1
Auto8.5
Teleop13.5
End0.5
red by 2.0
7553
#11
20.50.1
20.720.7
Auto5.2
Teleop6.8
End8.5
Second
2619
#27
17.10.3
16.916.7
Auto5.9
Teleop4.7
End6.5
red by 4.4
453
#24
12.80.1
12.712.8
Auto3.8
Teleop2.8
End6.1
Third
5263
#31
10.00.3
10.210.0
Auto1.8
Teleop5.1
End3.0
red by 1.2
8519
#28
8.80.1
8.78.8
Auto5.1
Teleop3.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
27%Cargo oddsEarned10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsMissed47%Hangar oddsMissed