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Red51
261917.1
370725.8
83628.5
Blue54
721123.1
779111.5
150227.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433202060805154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3707
#15
25.81.3
20.221.5
Auto6.5
Teleop13.2
End6.2
blue by 1.7
27.52.5
11.013.5
Auto9.1
Teleop10.8
End7.5
Second
2619
#27
17.11.3
12.013.3
Auto5.9
Teleop4.7
End6.5
blue by 6.0
23.12.5
12.214.7
Auto5.6
Teleop6.5
End11.0
Third
8362
#33
8.51.3
7.18.4
Auto2.8
Teleop3.1
End2.5
blue by 3.1
7791
#32
11.52.5
8.310.8
Auto3.2
Teleop4.4
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
18%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsEarned24%Hangar oddsEarned