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Red85
357225.6
354625.0
240511.9
Blue38
485514.5
400414.1
505614.9
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67442060801008538

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.60.6
24.725.3
Auto9.4
Teleop5.9
End10.3
red by 10.7
5056
#16
14.90.1
15.014.9
Auto2.3
Teleop8.1
End4.4
Second
25.00.6
24.124.6
Auto5.7
Teleop8.5
End10.7
red by 10.5
4855
#17
14.50.1
14.614.5
Auto3.4
Teleop5.2
End5.9
Third
2405
#23
11.90.6
11.011.6
Auto1.4
Teleop2.5
End8.0
blue by 2.1
4004
#12
14.10.1
14.214.1
Auto3.8
Teleop5.4
End4.8