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Red49
609021.1
400414.1
85814.5
Blue21
609715.4
296024.2
54487.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36280102040506070804921

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.11.8
12.314.1
Auto4.3
Teleop7.8
End9.0
blue by 3.0
24.20.7
11.110.4
Auto3.5
Teleop11.4
End9.3
Second
858
#9
14.51.8
8.810.7
Auto3.0
Teleop6.8
End4.6
blue by 1.0
6097
#15
15.40.7
8.78.0
Auto3.8
Teleop8.8
End2.8
Third
4004
#12
14.11.1
11.312.4
Auto3.8
Teleop5.4
End4.8
red by 6.8
5448
#25
7.30.7
7.46.7
Auto0.8
Teleop5.0
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsEarned11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsEarned19%Hangar oddsMissed