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Red38
357225.6
505614.9
43376.1
Blue33
716026.2
60058.8
828514.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4247203060703833

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.60.4
20.319.8
Auto9.4
Teleop5.9
End10.3
blue by 0.6
26.20.7
24.824.1
Auto5.9
Teleop7.4
End12.9
Second
5056
#16
14.90.4
11.711.3
Auto2.3
Teleop8.1
End4.4
red by 0.7
8285
#26
14.21.2
8.47.2
Auto1.6
Teleop11.7
End0.8
Third
4337
#28
6.10.7
8.17.4
Auto2.0
Teleop2.1
End2.1
blue by 2.7
6005
#34
8.81.2
10.69.4
Auto2.5
Teleop3.2
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed16%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
64%Hangar oddsMissed44%Hangar oddsMissed