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Red47
296024.2
85814.5
51628.6
Blue43
485514.5
609715.4
705421.4
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31460102040506070804743

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.21.8
10.412.2
Auto3.5
Teleop11.4
End9.3
red by 2.8
7054
#21
21.40.1
21.221.3
Auto6.5
Teleop13.8
End1.1
Second
858
#9
14.51.8
10.712.4
Auto3.0
Teleop6.8
End4.6
blue by 1.0
6097
#15
15.40.2
8.08.2
Auto3.8
Teleop8.8
End2.8
Third
5162
#30
8.61.1
10.111.1
Auto3.8
Teleop3.3
End1.5
blue by 5.9
4855
#17
14.50.1
12.312.4
Auto3.4
Teleop5.2
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
20%Cargo oddsMissed39%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsEarned13%Hangar oddsMissed