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Red8
65616.2
781010.3
345810.1
Blue29
505614.9
60205.6
750114.6
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2636010203040506070829

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7810
#18
10.31.9
8.56.5
Auto4.8
Teleop3.9
End1.5
blue by 4.6
5056
#16
14.90.2
11.411.1
Auto2.3
Teleop8.1
End4.4
Second
3458
#24
10.11.9
9.77.7
Auto1.8
Teleop4.6
End3.7
blue by 4.5
7501
#10
14.60.4
10.19.7
Auto3.6
Teleop6.9
End4.1
Third
6561
#35
6.21.2
7.36.2
Auto2.4
Teleop2.8
End0.9
red by 0.6
6020
#32
5.60.4
11.110.7
Auto2.2
Teleop3.1
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsMissed25%Hangar oddsMissed