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Red65
610013.6
376719.1
296024.2
Blue67
354625.0
781010.3
609021.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424310203050607080906567

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.22.8
12.415.2
Auto3.5
Teleop11.4
End9.3
blue by 0.8
25.02.9
16.919.9
Auto5.7
Teleop8.5
End10.7
Second
3767
#13
19.12.8
16.419.2
Auto5.6
Teleop9.8
End3.7
blue by 2.0
21.12.9
16.019.0
Auto4.3
Teleop7.8
End9.0
Third
6100
#29
13.62.8
11.013.8
Auto3.7
Teleop5.0
End4.8
red by 3.3
7810
#18
10.32.9
7.510.5
Auto4.8
Teleop3.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed17%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
49%Hangar oddsEarned54%Hangar oddsEarned