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Red39
705421.4
610013.6
80415.4
Blue66
760211.3
357225.6
400414.1
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4253102030607080903966

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7054
#21
21.40.4
21.521.1
Auto6.5
Teleop13.8
End1.1
blue by 4.2
25.61.2
24.225.4
Auto9.4
Teleop5.9
End10.3
Second
6100
#29
13.60.6
13.112.5
Auto3.7
Teleop5.0
End4.8
blue by 0.5
4004
#12
14.11.2
13.014.1
Auto3.8
Teleop5.4
End4.8
Third
8041
#33
5.40.6
6.45.8
Auto2.6
Teleop1.5
End1.3
blue by 5.9
7602
#14
11.31.8
11.513.3
Auto4.1
Teleop4.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
23%Cargo oddsMissed6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
14%Hangar oddsMissed58%Hangar oddsEarned