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Red32
64283.4
716026.2
60205.6
Blue35
43376.1
361813.5
49568.5
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4031010205060703235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.20.5
25.524.9
Auto5.9
Teleop7.4
End12.9
red by 12.7
3618
#22
13.50.1
13.513.6
Auto3.4
Teleop7.5
End2.6
Second
6020
#32
5.60.7
7.67.0
Auto2.2
Teleop3.1
End0.3
blue by 2.9
4956
#19
8.50.1
9.39.4
Auto2.7
Teleop3.7
End2.1
Third
6428
#37
3.40.7
3.02.4
Auto1.3
Teleop2.3
End-0.2
blue by 2.7
4337
#28
6.10.1
7.47.4
Auto2.0
Teleop2.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed5%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsMissed11%Hangar oddsMissed