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Red82
345810.1
485514.5
207540.2
Blue28
357225.6
77948.4
61287.3
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71442060801008228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.20.5
39.840.3
Auto13.8
Teleop21.7
End4.7
red by 14.6
25.61.4
26.124.7
Auto9.4
Teleop5.9
End10.3
Second
4855
#17
14.50.5
13.514.0
Auto3.4
Teleop5.2
End5.9
red by 6.1
7794
#27
8.41.5
10.08.4
Auto0.9
Teleop4.0
End3.5
Third
3458
#24
10.10.5
9.610.1
Auto1.8
Teleop4.6
End3.7
red by 2.8
6128
#31
7.31.4
8.87.4
Auto2.4
Teleop2.0
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
39%Cargo oddsEarned11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
51%Hangar oddsMissed57%Hangar oddsMissed