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Red113
150636.3
353839.5
608511.1
Blue49
81823.9
353920.7
592612.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9559020408012014016011349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.50.5
38.839.3
Auto11.6
Teleop17.9
End9.9
red by 15.5
818
#7
23.90.3
24.724.5
Auto5.9
Teleop10.7
End7.4
Second
36.30.5
35.636.1
Auto8.3
Teleop22.1
End5.9
red by 15.6
20.70.2
21.521.2
Auto5.9
Teleop6.6
End8.2
Third
6085
#29
11.10.5
10.410.9
Auto4.4
Teleop3.0
End3.6
blue by 1.8
5926
#15
12.80.2
13.513.3
Auto4.3
Teleop5.3
End3.1