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Red70
54678.4
112.3
353839.5
Blue26
592612.8
5116.4
722411.1
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43340102030506070807026

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.52.9
23.226.2
Auto11.6
Teleop17.9
End9.9
red by 23.1
51
#25
16.40.8
13.512.7
Auto3.1
Teleop7.6
End5.7
Second
1
#11
12.32.9
7.410.3
Auto2.2
Teleop1.4
End8.8
blue by 0.5
5926
#15
12.80.8
9.08.2
Auto4.3
Teleop5.3
End3.1
Third
5467
#24
8.42.9
9.011.9
Auto1.0
Teleop1.1
End6.3
blue by 2.7
7224
#26
11.10.8
10.69.8
Auto5.8
Teleop2.3
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsEarned16%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsEarned23%Hangar oddsMissed