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Red44
543615.9
481013.2
213712.6
Blue42
76928.8
81823.9
634414.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35400102030506070804442

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5436
#10
15.91.2
16.417.6
Auto4.7
Teleop4.3
End6.9
blue by 8.0
818
#7
23.90.6
12.312.9
Auto5.9
Teleop10.7
End7.4
Second
4810
#30
13.21.2
7.78.9
Auto6.2
Teleop2.8
End4.2
blue by 1.7
6344
#16
14.90.6
12.913.5
Auto4.1
Teleop1.4
End9.3
Third
2137
#18
12.61.2
9.210.4
Auto5.1
Teleop3.7
End3.8
red by 3.8
7692
#31
8.80.6
11.612.2
Auto2.5
Teleop3.5
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed19%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
37%Hangar oddsEarned15%Hangar oddsEarned