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Red43
150636.3
656615.0
88546.0
Blue79
317527.5
353839.5
5116.4
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions525930407080904379

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.30.7
30.129.4
Auto8.3
Teleop22.1
End5.9
blue by 3.2
39.52.7
26.228.9
Auto11.6
Teleop17.9
End9.9
Second
6566
#14
15.01.2
8.67.4
Auto3.8
Teleop6.1
End5.1
blue by 12.5
27.52.7
15.618.3
Auto10.4
Teleop14.4
End2.6
Third
8854
#35
6.01.2
10.89.7
Auto3.9
Teleop2.8
End-0.7
blue by 10.4
51
#25
16.42.7
12.715.4
Auto3.1
Teleop7.6
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
56%Cargo oddsMissed31%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
42%Hangar oddsMissed33%Hangar oddsMissed