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Red57
81823.9
49613.7
5116.4
Blue93
260411.9
353839.5
413022.9
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions326102040801005793

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
818
#7
23.92.2
12.915.0
Auto5.9
Teleop10.7
End7.4
blue by 15.5
39.54.3
28.933.2
Auto11.6
Teleop17.9
End9.9
Second
51
#25
16.42.2
15.417.6
Auto3.1
Teleop7.6
End5.7
blue by 6.6
22.94.3
16.921.3
Auto6.8
Teleop11.8
End4.4
Third
4961
#33
3.72.2
5.27.3
Auto2.4
Teleop1.6
End-0.3
blue by 8.2
2604
#23
11.94.3
8.112.4
Auto4.7
Teleop3.7
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed44%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
24%Hangar oddsMissed25%Hangar oddsEarned