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Red68
872810.6
586010.4
150636.3
Blue24
609910.2
516713.9
112.3
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54330204060806824

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.31.3
29.430.8
Auto8.3
Teleop22.1
End5.9
red by 22.4
5167
#32
13.91.1
12.911.9
Auto2.1
Teleop7.7
End4.1
Second
8728
#17
10.62.2
9.411.7
Auto4.1
Teleop1.8
End4.8
blue by 1.7
1
#11
12.31.1
10.59.4
Auto2.2
Teleop1.4
End8.8
Third
5860
#13
10.42.2
9.011.3
Auto3.0
Teleop6.3
End1.1
red by 0.2
6099
#28
10.21.1
10.39.2
Auto3.4
Teleop3.7
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
49%Cargo oddsEarned32%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsEarned15%Hangar oddsMissed