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Red59
722411.1
473713.2
317527.5
Blue36
5116.4
213712.6
72478.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4337102030506070805936

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.52.1
20.122.2
Auto10.4
Teleop14.4
End2.6
red by 11.1
51
#25
16.40.4
17.617.2
Auto3.1
Teleop7.6
End5.7
Second
4737
#19
13.22.1
9.711.8
Auto3.6
Teleop4.5
End5.1
red by 0.6
2137
#18
12.60.4
10.09.6
Auto5.1
Teleop3.7
End3.8
Third
7224
#26
11.12.1
10.112.2
Auto5.8
Teleop2.3
End3.1
red by 2.7
7247
#22
8.40.4
7.97.5
Auto2.0
Teleop2.5
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
43%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
13%Hangar oddsMissed26%Hangar oddsMissed