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Red21
88546.0
5116.4
608511.1
Blue26
77628.7
285112.7
586010.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414020253035455055602126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51
#25
16.41.9
17.215.3
Auto3.1
Teleop7.6
End5.7
red by 3.7
2851
#21
12.71.3
17.115.9
Auto3.7
Teleop5.4
End3.6
Second
6085
#29
11.11.9
11.19.2
Auto4.4
Teleop3.0
End3.6
red by 0.7
5860
#13
10.41.3
9.98.6
Auto3.0
Teleop6.3
End1.1
Third
8854
#35
6.01.9
9.98.0
Auto3.9
Teleop2.8
End-0.7
blue by 2.7
7762
#27
8.71.3
10.59.2
Auto3.8
Teleop2.2
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed17%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
14%Hangar oddsMissed11%Hangar oddsMissed