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Red63
353839.5
481013.2
872810.6
Blue50
634414.9
20128.2
473713.2
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63583040507080901006350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.50.5
36.637.1
Auto11.6
Teleop17.9
End9.9
red by 11.3
201
#3
28.21.3
26.525.2
Auto5.1
Teleop14.1
End9.0
Second
4810
#30
13.20.5
12.012.6
Auto6.2
Teleop2.8
End4.2
blue by 1.7
6344
#16
14.91.4
14.913.5
Auto4.1
Teleop1.4
End9.3
Third
8728
#17
10.60.5
9.710.2
Auto4.1
Teleop1.8
End4.8
blue by 2.6
4737
#19
13.21.4
13.411.9
Auto3.6
Teleop4.5
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
45%Cargo oddsMissed31%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
54%Hangar oddsEarned44%Hangar oddsEarned