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Red49
5116.4
353920.7
77628.7
Blue30
112.3
76928.8
49613.7
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions493001020406070804930

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.70.6
19.119.6
Auto5.9
Teleop6.6
End8.2
red by 8.4
1
#11
12.30.1
11.111.1
Auto2.2
Teleop1.4
End8.8
Second
51
#25
16.40.6
15.315.9
Auto3.1
Teleop7.6
End5.7
red by 7.5
7692
#31
8.80.1
13.213.1
Auto2.5
Teleop3.5
End2.9
Third
7762
#27
8.70.6
9.29.8
Auto3.8
Teleop2.2
End2.7
red by 5.0
4961
#33
3.70.1
6.46.3
Auto2.4
Teleop1.6
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
19%Cargo oddsMissed23%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
16%Hangar oddsEarned30%Hangar oddsMissed