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Red8
722411.1
872810.6
76928.8
Blue28
586010.4
317527.5
54678.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2635020406080100828

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7224
#26
11.11.9
8.97.0
Auto5.8
Teleop2.3
End3.1
blue by 16.4
27.50.4
10.710.4
Auto10.4
Teleop14.4
End2.6
Second
8728
#17
10.615.1
21.36.2
Auto4.1
Teleop1.8
End4.8
red by 0.2
5860
#13
10.40.4
10.39.9
Auto3.0
Teleop6.3
End1.1
Third
7692
#31
8.81.9
8.36.4
Auto2.5
Teleop3.5
End2.9
red by 0.4
5467
#24
8.40.4
10.39.9
Auto1.0
Teleop1.1
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsMissed25%Hangar oddsMissed