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Red55
592612.8
413022.9
54678.4
Blue51
24526.1
72478.4
481013.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5242102030607080905551

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.90.7
21.622.4
Auto6.8
Teleop11.8
End4.4
blue by 3.2
245
#8
26.10.6
24.425.0
Auto5.9
Teleop10.2
End10.1
Second
5926
#15
12.80.7
16.417.1
Auto4.3
Teleop5.3
End3.1
blue by 0.4
4810
#30
13.20.6
12.613.2
Auto6.2
Teleop2.8
End4.2
Third
5467
#24
8.40.7
9.810.5
Auto1.0
Teleop1.1
End6.3
red by 0.1
7247
#22
8.40.6
4.24.8
Auto2.0
Teleop2.5
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
26%Cargo oddsEarned8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
62%Hangar oddsEarned44%Hangar oddsEarned