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Red91
353839.5
72478.4
656615.0
Blue23
872810.6
608511.1
543615.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions603920801009123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.52.2
37.940.2
Auto11.6
Teleop17.9
End9.9
red by 23.6
5436
#10
15.91.5
17.816.3
Auto4.7
Teleop4.3
End6.9
Second
6566
#14
15.02.4
11.313.7
Auto3.8
Teleop6.1
End5.1
red by 4.0
6085
#29
11.11.5
11.510.0
Auto4.4
Teleop3.0
End3.6
Third
7247
#22
8.42.2
4.76.9
Auto2.0
Teleop2.5
End3.8
blue by 2.2
8728
#17
10.61.5
10.18.7
Auto4.1
Teleop1.8
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
49%Cargo oddsEarned21%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
35%Hangar oddsEarned40%Hangar oddsMissed