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Red43
543615.9
586010.4
353920.7
Blue29
353839.5
592612.8
49613.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5368204060801004329

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.71.2
22.821.6
Auto5.9
Teleop6.6
End8.2
blue by 18.7
39.52.4
40.237.8
Auto11.6
Teleop17.9
End9.9
Second
5436
#10
15.91.2
16.915.7
Auto4.7
Teleop4.3
End6.9
red by 3.1
5926
#15
12.82.4
16.113.7
Auto4.3
Teleop5.3
End3.1
Third
5860
#13
10.41.2
11.610.4
Auto3.0
Teleop6.3
End1.1
red by 6.7
4961
#33
3.72.7
5.62.9
Auto2.4
Teleop1.6
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
34%Cargo oddsMissed44%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
64%Hangar oddsMissed49%Hangar oddsMissed