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Red38
75975.0
88546.0
317527.5
Blue44
477916.6
213712.6
112.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384602060801003844

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.50.1
26.626.7
Auto10.4
Teleop14.4
End2.6
red by 10.9
16.60.2
16.416.2
Auto7.2
Teleop5.2
End4.2
Second
8854
#35
6.00.1
5.45.5
Auto3.9
Teleop2.8
End-0.7
blue by 6.6
2137
#18
12.60.2
13.313.1
Auto5.1
Teleop3.7
End3.8
Third
7597
#34
5.00.1
4.84.9
Auto2.0
Teleop2.6
End0.4
blue by 7.3
1
#11
12.30.2
12.212.1
Auto2.2
Teleop1.4
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
22%Cargo oddsMissed22%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
7%Hangar oddsMissed34%Hangar oddsEarned