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Red55
285112.7
5116.4
543615.9
Blue52
213712.6
54678.4
20128.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46550204060801005552

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51
#25
16.40.5
15.716.2
Auto3.1
Teleop7.6
End5.7
blue by 11.8
201
#3
28.20.2
28.728.6
Auto5.1
Teleop14.1
End9.0
Second
5436
#10
15.90.6
16.316.9
Auto4.7
Teleop4.3
End6.9
red by 3.3
2137
#18
12.60.2
13.112.9
Auto5.1
Teleop3.7
End3.8
Third
2851
#21
12.70.5
12.212.7
Auto3.7
Teleop5.4
End3.6
red by 4.2
5467
#24
8.40.2
8.68.4
Auto1.0
Teleop1.1
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
20%Cargo oddsMissed24%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
27%Hangar oddsEarned74%Hangar oddsEarned