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Red65
353920.7
88546.0
477916.6
Blue68
285112.7
81823.9
150636.3
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions355402060801001206568

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.73.3
16.019.3
Auto5.9
Teleop6.6
End8.2
blue by 15.6
36.31.3
27.428.7
Auto8.3
Teleop22.1
End5.9
Second
16.63.3
11.915.2
Auto7.2
Teleop5.2
End4.2
blue by 7.4
818
#7
23.92.2
10.112.3
Auto5.9
Teleop10.7
End7.4
Third
8854
#35
6.03.3
7.610.8
Auto3.9
Teleop2.8
End-0.7
blue by 6.7
2851
#21
12.72.2
10.913.1
Auto3.7
Teleop5.4
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
17%Cargo oddsEarned45%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsMissed31%Hangar oddsMissed