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Red52
317527.5
260411.9
49613.7
Blue31
656615.0
77628.7
722411.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4440102030506070805231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.50.8
27.027.8
Auto10.4
Teleop14.4
End2.6
red by 12.5
6566
#14
15.00.8
16.315.4
Auto3.8
Teleop6.1
End5.1
Second
2604
#23
11.90.8
10.911.7
Auto4.7
Teleop3.7
End3.5
red by 0.8
7224
#26
11.10.8
11.911.1
Auto5.8
Teleop2.3
End3.1
Third
4961
#33
3.70.8
2.93.7
Auto2.4
Teleop1.6
End-0.3
blue by 5.0
7762
#27
8.70.8
9.99.1
Auto3.8
Teleop2.2
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
17%Cargo oddsEarned14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
16%Hangar oddsMissed19%Hangar oddsMissed