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Red110
150636.3
353839.5
608511.1
Blue38
634414.9
477916.6
656615.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions964420608012014011038

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.50.4
38.438.8
Auto11.6
Teleop17.9
End9.9
red by 22.9
16.60.4
16.916.6
Auto7.2
Teleop5.2
End4.2
Second
36.30.4
35.235.6
Auto8.3
Teleop22.1
End5.9
red by 21.3
6566
#14
15.00.4
15.415.0
Auto3.8
Teleop6.1
End5.1
Third
6085
#29
11.10.4
10.010.4
Auto4.4
Teleop3.0
End3.6
blue by 3.8
6344
#16
14.90.4
15.314.9
Auto4.1
Teleop1.4
End9.3