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Red68
317527.5
20128.2
77628.7
Blue75
81823.9
353920.7
592612.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70632040801006875

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
201
#3
28.20.1
28.428.4
Auto5.1
Teleop14.1
End9.0
red by 4.3
818
#7
23.90.0
24.724.7
Auto5.9
Teleop10.7
End7.4
Second
27.50.1
27.627.7
Auto10.4
Teleop14.4
End2.6
red by 6.7
20.70.0
21.421.4
Auto5.9
Teleop6.6
End8.2
Third
7762
#27
8.70.1
8.99.0
Auto3.8
Teleop2.2
End2.7
blue by 4.1
5926
#15
12.80.0
13.513.5
Auto4.3
Teleop5.3
End3.1