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Red70
999725.4
546032.1
842410.5
Blue41
607823.5
365522.2
15558.6
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions486002040801001201401607041

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.11.3
33.434.7
Auto12.4
Teleop16.5
End3.3
red by 8.6
6078
#10
23.50.9
20.819.9
Auto7.2
Teleop6.2
End10.1
Second
25.42.2
11.113.2
Auto8.8
Teleop9.1
End7.2
red by 3.3
3655
#12
22.20.9
24.323.4
Auto5.1
Teleop10.2
End6.9
Third
8424
#13
10.51.3
6.27.5
Auto4.2
Teleop3.8
End2.5
red by 1.9
1555
#15
8.60.9
9.58.6
Auto3.8
Teleop3.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
32%Cargo oddsEarned20%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
52%Hangar oddsEarned78%Hangar oddsMissed