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Red70
872820.4
335741.1
607823.5
Blue58
546032.1
365522.2
365622.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions921060501502007058

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.11.8
38.536.8
Auto10.5
Teleop20.0
End10.5
red by 8.9
32.12.9
42.539.6
Auto12.4
Teleop16.5
End3.3
Second
6078
#10
23.51.8
28.526.7
Auto7.2
Teleop6.2
End10.1
red by 0.8
22.62.9
25.122.2
Auto5.8
Teleop9.0
End7.9
Third
20.41.8
21.319.5
Auto6.2
Teleop7.9
End6.3
blue by 1.8
3655
#12
22.22.9
29.927.0
Auto5.1
Teleop10.2
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
93%Cargo oddsMissed92%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
97%Hangar oddsEarned91%Hangar oddsEarned