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Qual 232022 Rainbow Rumble
Red78
57043.6
607823.5
22639.9
Blue67
15558.6
335741.1
659117.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65722040801001207867

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#3
39.91.2
39.2→40.3
Auto7.1
Teleop22.2
End10.6
blue by 1.2
3357
#1
41.10.2
39.4→39.2
Auto10.5
Teleop20.0
End10.5
Second
6078
#10
23.51.2
19.9→21.1
Auto7.2
Teleop6.2
End10.1
red by 5.6
6591
#9
17.90.2
17.8→17.7
Auto8.8
Teleop5.0
End4.2
Third
5704
#14
3.61.2
1.5→2.6
Auto1.2
Teleop1.1
End1.4
blue by 5.0
1555
#15
8.60.2
8.2→8.1
Auto3.8
Teleop3.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
18%Cargo oddsEarned50%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
71%Hangar oddsEarned66%Hangar oddsMissed