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Red41
365622.6
659117.9
607823.5
Blue86
999725.4
22639.9
365522.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64880501001502004186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6078
#10
23.51.4
21.119.7
Auto7.2
Teleop6.2
End10.1
blue by 16.4
226
#3
39.90.2
40.340.6
Auto7.1
Teleop22.2
End10.6
Second
22.61.4
22.921.5
Auto5.8
Teleop9.0
End7.9
blue by 2.8
25.40.3
20.320.6
Auto8.8
Teleop9.1
End7.2
Third
17.91.4
17.716.3
Auto8.8
Teleop5.0
End4.2
blue by 4.2
3655
#12
22.20.2
21.822.0
Auto5.1
Teleop10.2
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
25%Cargo oddsMissed62%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
88%Hangar oddsEarned87%Hangar oddsEarned