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Red42
659117.9
842410.5
365522.2
Blue98
546032.1
283221.2
335741.1
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4410701502004298

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3655
#12
22.20.4
23.523.1
Auto5.1
Teleop10.2
End6.9
blue by 18.9
41.10.4
37.938.4
Auto10.5
Teleop20.0
End10.5
Second
17.90.4
16.215.8
Auto8.8
Teleop5.0
End4.2
blue by 14.2
32.10.4
32.633.0
Auto12.4
Teleop16.5
End3.3
Third
8424
#13
10.50.4
8.88.4
Auto4.2
Teleop3.8
End2.5
blue by 10.7
2832
#11
21.20.4
20.921.3
Auto4.8
Teleop10.6
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
17%Cargo oddsMissed89%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
49%Hangar oddsMissed88%Hangar oddsEarned