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Red83
335741.1
842410.5
659117.9
Blue71
15558.6
607823.5
492627.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions686302040801001208371

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.11.4
38.439.8
Auto10.5
Teleop20.0
End10.5
red by 13.8
27.30.5
27.628.1
Auto5.8
Teleop13.3
End8.2
Second
17.91.4
15.817.1
Auto8.8
Teleop5.0
End4.2
blue by 5.6
6078
#10
23.50.5
21.722.2
Auto7.2
Teleop6.2
End10.1
Third
8424
#13
10.51.4
8.49.7
Auto4.2
Teleop3.8
End2.5
red by 1.9
1555
#15
8.60.5
9.810.4
Auto3.8
Teleop3.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
40%Cargo oddsEarned51%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
62%Hangar oddsEarned73%Hangar oddsEarned