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Red51
999725.4
492627.3
15558.6
Blue75
842410.5
283221.2
365622.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions685402040801001201401605175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.30.9
28.127.3
Auto5.8
Teleop13.3
End8.2
red by 4.6
22.60.7
21.922.6
Auto5.8
Teleop9.0
End7.9
Second
25.40.9
26.325.4
Auto8.8
Teleop9.1
End7.2
red by 4.3
2832
#11
21.20.7
20.521.2
Auto4.8
Teleop10.6
End5.8
Third
1555
#15
8.60.9
9.58.6
Auto3.8
Teleop3.0
End1.8
blue by 1.9
8424
#13
10.50.7
9.710.5
Auto4.2
Teleop3.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
60%Cargo oddsMissed24%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
53%Hangar oddsEarned56%Hangar oddsEarned