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Red90
283221.2
607823.5
335741.1
Blue36
872820.4
15558.6
842410.5
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106260501509036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.10.7
37.236.5
Auto10.5
Teleop20.0
End10.5
red by 20.7
20.40.1
20.120.2
Auto6.2
Teleop7.9
End6.3
Second
6078
#10
23.50.7
25.825.1
Auto7.2
Teleop6.2
End10.1
red by 13.0
8424
#13
10.50.1
6.66.7
Auto4.2
Teleop3.8
End2.5
Third
2832
#11
21.20.7
25.224.6
Auto4.8
Teleop10.6
End5.8
red by 12.6
1555
#15
8.60.1
7.98.0
Auto3.8
Teleop3.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
86%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
97%Hangar oddsEarned40%Hangar oddsMissed