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Red65
354220.9
546226.4
506611.8
Blue53
21713.7
360420.4
842313.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6748204060801001206553

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.40.3
26.926.6
Auto7.5
Teleop11.5
End7.4
red by 6.0
20.40.1
20.320.4
Auto5.8
Teleop5.4
End9.1
Second
3542
#25
20.90.3
21.421.2
Auto5.9
Teleop12.0
End3.0
red by 7.1
8423
#16
13.80.1
13.713.8
Auto3.8
Teleop8.2
End1.8
Third
5066
#19
11.80.3
12.412.1
Auto4.4
Teleop3.3
End4.1
blue by 1.9
217
#21
13.70.1
13.613.7
Auto3.1
Teleop8.6
End2.0