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Red74
567622.0
561216.7
356813.6
Blue26
553012.4
657019.8
837319.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions565802040801001207426

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.00.3
22.022.3
Auto5.2
Teleop6.6
End10.2
red by 2.2
19.80.6
20.720.1
Auto3.7
Teleop5.6
End10.5
Second
16.70.3
16.817.1
Auto4.4
Teleop5.9
End6.5
blue by 2.6
8373
#12
19.40.6
20.319.7
Auto5.5
Teleop11.5
End2.4
Third
3568
#13
13.60.3
13.714.0
Auto3.1
Teleop5.6
End5.0
red by 1.2
5530
#20
12.40.6
13.412.8
Auto2.9
Teleop4.2
End5.3