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Red38
615014.6
506713.0
561216.7
Blue17
360420.4
65565.3
61015.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323310204050603817

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.70.5
13.714.2
Auto4.4
Teleop5.9
End6.5
blue by 3.6
20.42.4
13.411.1
Auto5.8
Teleop5.4
End9.1
Second
6150
#10
14.60.6
8.99.5
Auto2.9
Teleop7.3
End4.4
red by 8.9
6101
#33
5.61.4
7.15.7
Auto1.8
Teleop1.9
End2.0
Third
5067
#15
13.00.5
7.88.3
Auto4.8
Teleop2.8
End5.3
red by 7.7
6556
#39DQ
5.32.4
9.87.4
Auto3.1
Teleop1.8
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
17%Hangar oddsEarned15%Hangar oddsMissed