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Red31
615014.6
514411.7
360420.4
Blue14
837319.4
65287.6
61015.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33280102040506070803114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.40.1
13.113.1
Auto5.8
Teleop5.4
End9.1
red by 1.0
8373
#12
19.41.9
9.98.0
Auto5.5
Teleop11.5
End2.4
Second
6150
#10
14.60.0
9.59.6
Auto2.9
Teleop7.3
End4.4
red by 7.0
6528
#34
7.61.9
11.910.0
Auto1.8
Teleop5.6
End0.2
Third
5144
#22
11.70.0
7.77.8
Auto4.8
Teleop2.2
End4.7
red by 6.1
6101
#33
5.61.1
4.93.8
Auto1.8
Teleop1.9
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
17%Hangar oddsEarned14%Hangar oddsMissed