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Red20
553012.4
842313.8
65565.3
Blue28
555910.7
261115.5
43954.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32340204060802028

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8423
#16
13.80.7
10.69.9
Auto3.8
Teleop8.2
End1.8
blue by 1.7
2611
#14
15.50.8
15.314.5
Auto4.8
Teleop7.5
End3.1
Second
5530
#20
12.41.1
14.713.6
Auto2.9
Teleop4.2
End5.3
red by 1.7
5559
#32
10.70.5
10.29.7
Auto3.6
Teleop3.7
End3.4
Third
6556
#39
5.31.1
4.93.8
Auto3.1
Teleop1.8
End0.4
red by 1.0
4395
#37
4.40.8
6.15.2
Auto2.3
Teleop-0.0
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed31%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
11%Hangar oddsMissed17%Hangar oddsMissed