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Red76
546226.4
837319.4
506713.0
Blue29
722112.0
2804.4
567622.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions473602060801001201407629

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.42.2
20.222.5
Auto7.5
Teleop11.5
End7.4
red by 4.4
22.01.2
19.818.6
Auto5.2
Teleop6.6
End10.2
Second
8373
#12
19.43.7
12.516.2
Auto5.5
Teleop11.5
End2.4
red by 7.3
7221
#18
12.01.2
10.08.8
Auto3.6
Teleop4.6
End3.8
Third
5067
#15
13.02.2
9.712.0
Auto4.8
Teleop2.8
End5.3
red by 8.6
280
#38
4.41.2
5.64.5
Auto0.8
Teleop-0.6
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsEarned19%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
37%Hangar oddsEarned19%Hangar oddsMissed