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Red25
817915.9
842313.8
65389.1
Blue6
504615.2
506611.8
2804.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33410102050607080256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8179
#17
15.90.5
12.812.3
Auto4.5
Teleop5.2
End6.2
red by 0.7
5046
#27
15.22.1
17.615.5
Auto3.8
Teleop2.8
End8.7
Second
8423
#16
13.80.5
8.68.1
Auto3.8
Teleop8.2
End1.8
red by 2.0
5066
#19
11.83.5
10.36.8
Auto4.4
Teleop3.3
End4.1
Third
6538
#31
9.10.8
10.59.7
Auto2.7
Teleop5.3
End1.1
red by 4.8
280
#38
4.43.5
9.45.9
Auto0.8
Teleop-0.6
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsMissed53%Hangar oddsMissed